Speculation increases in Egypt that President Mubarak will seek seventh term

By Waleed Abul-Khair in Cairo
For Al-Shorfa.com
2010-06-02



				[BOB EDME/AFP/Getty Images] NDP party officials want Hosni Mubarak to run for president again.

[BOB EDME/AFP/Getty Images] NDP party officials want Hosni Mubarak to run for president again.

The Egyptian political scene appears to be in turmoil as President Mubarak's sixth term nears an end.

Intense discussions are continuing domestically and abroad about a possible successor if Mubarak decides to not seek a seventh consecutive term.

Speculation that Mubarak's son Gamal would run for the presidency sparked debates and raised the political temperature.

In addition, there is the possible presidential bid of Mohammed ElBaradei, who made a strong debut in politics on the streets of Egypt when he returned in 2009 after his term of head of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) was over.

The latest in a series of unexpected developments occurred when Safwat El-Sherif, the secretary-general of the ruling National Democratic Party (NDP) said on May 24th that "the whole of the NDP together with its grassroots support are pinning all their hopes on President Hosni Mubarak running for another term, but the decision lies in the hands of President Mubarak himself."

El-Sherif added that "Egypt has many leaders, but there is no one who can match President Mubarak's calibre. He is a legend that will never be duplicated."

El-Sherif's remarks came two days after Egyptian Prime Minister Dr. Ahmed Nazif told independent and party newspaper editors that he hoped that the presidential candidate for the National Party would be "President Mubarak, because he represents stability".

Nazif also said that the system had not yet produced "an alternative candidate that it can comfortably place in this position".

The statements made by El-Sherif and Nazif seemed to point towards President Mubarak running for a seventh term without any real challenger for the presidency.

The behind-the-scenes analysis of the political scene, however, differs among members and supporters of the NDP and the opposition, led by the outlawed Muslim Brotherhood and the Kifaya movement.

Dr. Issam Al-Aryan, member of the Guidance Bureau of the Muslim Brotherhood and its spokesperson, told Al-Shorfa that Nazif's statements reveal an internal dispute between various wings within the NDP, as well as between the National Party's leadership and the government. Nazif exposed a very serious issue, al-Aryan said, which is that the party has not produced any leadership figure suited to become president of the republic.

He added that these statements constitute a major blow to the leadership of the National Party.

"What Nazif said reflects their anxiety and fear of Dr. ElBaradei, and the support that he is getting from the Egyptian public, both from the general population and from political parties," said al-Aryan.

ElBaradei had recently described the Brotherhood as a moderate party that does not resort to violence, and that does not aim to gain power.

As for Gamal Mubarak and the possibility of his candidacy, al-Aryan said that the president's son is not in a position to compete in a political race in light of the current turmoil.

George Ishaq, former general co-ordinator of the Kifaya movement, one of the fiercest opponents of extending President Mubarak's term and of a hereditary transfer of power to Gamal, told Al-Shorfa that Mubarak's statement during his visit in May to Italy is more significant than what Nazif said.

During a meeting with Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, Mubarak said he would inaugurate the Italian University Hospital that is projected to be constructed in Egypt in 2017.

According to Ishaq, this statement is clear and sufficient proof that Mubarak will stay in power.

Ishaq said that Egyptian society is completely opposed to Gamal's candidacy, and this resistance is why the plan was discarded. Another issue which has lowered the probability of Gamal running for office is the struggle among what Ishaq called the "mamalik-rulers" - differences among the leaders of the NDP, and the disagreements between some of the ministers and leaders of the party.

Meanwhile, Major General Sameer Hussein, one of the NDP leaders in Fayoum, told Al-Shorfa that he was praying that God would grant President Mubarak a long life and well-being so that he can run for another term. He said that this is the real trend within the party.

Regarding Gamal's candidacy, Hussein said that Gamal Mubarak is an Egyptian citizen and is eligible to run as a candidate just like any other citizen who meets the necessary requirements. However, he said that it was too early to talk about this while President Mubarak is still able to govern the country.

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Reader Comments

المصري2010-09-24 14:05:00

In order to give our views of a person, we should look at their achievements, to judge them fairly. Hosni Mubarak has been the president of Egypt for three decades, but he has never been a successful president. He did not give anything but destruction and devastation to Egypt, because of his wrong policies and indulging himself in his own desires, the desires of his family and the members of his ruling party, rather than the interest of Egypt and the Egyptian people. Hosni was not up to the responsibility that fell on his shoulders after assuming the presidency of Egypt, and he failed to run the country. He depended on strengthening the security apparatus to suppress the Egyptian people and to protect himself from the wrath of this ancient people. He has practiced all forms of racism, discrimination, violence and terrorism against the poor people. The deteriorating situation experienced in Egypt today is the best proof of the failure of Hosni Mubarak in the management of the helm of the country. This man, in my view, is not wise and is not a leader, but he came to power by chance, and this is a misfortune of the Egyptians, who have suffered and are still suffering under Hosni Mubarak. So I think that it is better for Hosni to step down in favor of electing another president who can take the country to safety and try to reform the ravages inflicted on Egypt because of Hosni Mubarak.

عمر السيفاني2010-09-24 14:04:00

Hosni Mubarak has to step down from the presidency immediately, enough monopolization the chair of authority. I believe that Mubarak did not give anything to Egypt over his long period of ruling Egypt. On the contrary, I think he led Egypt towards the abyss, and he was the reason for the worsening of the crises in Egypt. Egypt, under the rule of Hosni and his authoritarian party, is suffering from a crisis in housing, rising unemployment and the deteriorating economic situation, in addition to the imbalance in the social, health and education situation. Indicators show the failure of Hosni Mubarak in the management of the country during the past decades. So he should step down from the post of the presidency and give up the power, for the establishment of free and fair elections for a new president for Egypt, who will lift it out of this reality of misery, which was caused by Hosni Mubarak.

2010-09-04 15:04:00

I do not think there is a good Arab ruler.

2010-08-27 09:05:00

The Egyptian people need to be rescued from Alashwaeyat, poverty, ignorance and diseases. Egypt needs someone who can save it from corruption and corrupting. Egyptians need to live with dignity, as they were created by God, the Almighty. To find pure potable water, food that is free of cancerous components; a job to make a living; a shelter to protect them from cold and hot weather; an income that guarantees a decent life; and good treatment for himself and his family members. Egyptians are in need of the basic necessities for living with dignity. It is not important who is the president, whether it be Mubarak or his son, or Al-Barada’ai or Zait or Mait, or Nutat Al-Heet… the most important thing is who can provide these needs…

عادل2010-08-04 13:00:00

There is no constitutional impediment to the nomination of Mr. Gamal Mubarak for the presidency, like any other Egyptian citizen, he has the right to run for office. As for the fact that he is the son of the president, I think this is a wrong issue that all the opposition parties use to object to his nomination. The opposition in our beloved home objects to everything, even the right things. Of course, this is a serious problem for democracy and our Arab peoples. The great Egypt does not deserve this, and the majority and opposition should realize this.

شكيرا2010-07-14 17:02:00

Mubarak is a wise man and he has many achievements as well as faults, just like any other president or king in any other country.

شادي2010-07-14 16:03:00

Egypt has separated itself from the Arab and African world, and its role has become too marginal. We have isolated ourselves, and we should expect this and even more...

Almasri2010-07-14 16:02:00

When one ignores faults and mistakes, believing that they will disappear over time, he will be surprised to find these mistakes growing worse, threatening the whole regime, and this is what has happened with president Mubarak, who has been ruling Egypt for 26 years as president, plus 6 years as vice president. Under his rule, Egypt has faced many difficult situations and suffered many problems, including poverty, disease, illiteracy, and strange events. Life in Egypt has deteriorated significantly during his reign, on all political, economical, educational and medical levels. The best of the sons of Egypt faced military trials, free voices were silenced, properties were confiscated, and the people came under the control of a group of the new liege lords who monopolized industry, agriculture, business and brokerage. Egypt did not witness any real development, and the man of the hour failed at all levels, to the extent that we are still depending on US aid, and one-third of the Egyptian people are illiterate.

2010-07-14 14:04:00

Egyptians recognize the brutal acts of the government against people. However, everyone keeps silent, lest he get the same punishment as the others. The international organizations mustn’t adopt the same shameful attitude towards the events carried out by the Egyptian police, who are violating all the human rights treaties. Those organizations must take action along with the human rights organizations. They must call on the government to investigate all the police officers in Egypt who are accused of such abuses. They must also investigate those specialized in torturing the detainees, either in jail or in the investigation buildings. They must conduct frequent visits to those buildings in order to reveal the truth and to rescue the Egyptians from the brutality and the oppression of the Egyptian government and its services. The constitution must be amended by adding a new law which prohibits the beating or torture of citizens by the police or any other governmental institution. This law must be enforced, and anyone who breaks it must be severely punished. Specialized courts must be created to deal with this kind of crimes. They must receive the complaints of the citizens, and any security member who tortures citizens must be brought to trial. Thus, we can protect the dignity of citizens and put an end to the aggression in the name of the state and its authority.

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